Components of the game result in a football league
Volume 28 / 2001
Applicationes Mathematicae 28 (2001), 55-72
MSC: 62F10, 62P99.
DOI: 10.4064/am28-1-4
Abstract
We assume that the result of a football game depends upon the difference of the strengths of the teams, home-field advantage, random factors and also other components. We describe the goal outcome per game by independent Poisson random variables; we concentrate on expected values. The least squares estimators of the parameters are obtained. The study is illustrated by examples from the Italian and Polish leagues.
