Components of the game result in a football league

Volume 28 / 2001

Boleslaw Kopoci/nski Applicationes Mathematicae 28 (2001), 55-72 MSC: 62F10, 62P99. DOI: 10.4064/am28-1-4


We assume that the result of a football game depends upon the difference of the strengths of the teams, home-field advantage, random factors and also other components. We describe the goal outcome per game by independent Poisson random variables; we concentrate on expected values. The least squares estimators of the parameters are obtained. The study is illustrated by examples from the Italian and Polish leagues.


  • Boleslaw Kopoci/nskiMathematical Institute
    University of Wroc/law
    Pl. Grunwaldzki 2/4
    50-384 Wroc/law, Poland

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